Wednesday, January 03, 2018

Today in framing

Now that President Tinybutton has made the airways safe for travel again, is there anything he can't fix? Well, maybe. Here's the lede from the AP auto sales story linked above:

DETROIT (AP) — The U.S. auto industry’s historic growth streak may be ending, but demand for new vehicles — especially SUVs — remains healthy as the new year begins.

... not great?

U.S. auto sales are expected to fall 2 percent to 17.1 million in 2017, according to Kelley Blue Book. That would be the first year-over-year decline since 2009, ending an unprecedented seven-year expansion.
Speaking of healthy, it's actually kind of salubrious for the AP to put a statistical trend into context. Detroit's homicide rate is its lowest since 1979, but violent crime overall is up:

The FBI has released new numbers that show violent crime in Detroit has spiked more than 15 percent in 2016. The numbers show 13,700 violent crimes which include murder, rape, assault, and robbery. Chief James Craig says they don't tell the whole story.

There's a whole framing book to be written on which numbers stand by themselves and which get a "don't tell the whole story," but overall, he's right -- largely because no set of numbers in any lede has ever told "the whole story." Please do your best to resist suggesting that, rather than "Auto sales strong," Drudge had gone with something like TRUMP DESTROYS YEARS OF OBAMA GAINS IN AUTO SALES!!1!!!!1!1!!

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